FRIDA portrait and logo

← BACK TO FRIDA BACK TO ADVISORY

RAW GOVERNED APPRAISAL RECORD · Read-only technical evidence

{
  "bundle": {
    "assignment_id": "LONDON_FINAL_ACTIVE",
    "contract_version": "first-appraisal-v1",
    "evidence": [
      {
        "classification": "ORDINARY_CHANGE",
        "evidence_id": "source-observation-c93690c7e5194c60b8e8609978161a7b",
        "geography": {
          "coverage": "Wandsworth SW8 / Battersea\u2013Nine Elms\u2013Vauxhall",
          "kind": "development lifecycle"
        },
        "normalized_state": {
          "postcode": "SW8",
          "records": [
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-0203506",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-03_01501_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-09_03929_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Superseded"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-145788",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Superseded"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-15_05619_VOC",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Commenced"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-16_01500_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Refused"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-17_02549_EIASCR",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Declined to Determine"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19876",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19_00348_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19_00371_VOC",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19_01005_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19_01462_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19_01967_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Withdrawn"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19_03703_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19_03905_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Lapsed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-19_04426_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Refused"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-209688",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Lapsed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-20_01460_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-20_02025_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Refused"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-20_02233_RG4",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-20_03563_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-20_04409_NMC",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-20_04454_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-219888",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Superseded"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-21_01533_NMC",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-21_02303_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-21_03524_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-21_04093_RG3",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-226788",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-22_03250_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-22_03802_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Refused"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-22_04560_NMC",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-23_01134_LDCE",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-23_03878_FUL",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-25_00764_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Withdrawn"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-25_00765_DET",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Withdrawn"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-25_02834_S106D",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Approved"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-921196",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Superseded"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-931568A",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Superseded"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-941345",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-9901211",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Superseded"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Lambeth-9901981",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Wandsworth-2005_0699",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Wandsworth-2005_4426",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Lapsed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Wandsworth-2013_2269",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Superseded"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Wandsworth-2017_7069",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Wandsworth-2020_3867",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Wandsworth-91N0286",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Lapsed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Wandsworth-94N0051",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            },
            {
              "actual_completion_date": "",
              "actual_start_date": "",
              "application_id": "Wandsworth-N960157",
              "decision_date": "",
              "development_type": "",
              "status": "Completed"
            }
          ]
        },
        "source_id": "LONDON_PLANNING_SW8",
        "source_timestamp": null
      },
      {
        "classification": "ORDINARY_CHANGE",
        "evidence_id": "source-observation-2af5e1bb635842ed8d9655adbcf525b2",
        "geography": {
          "coverage": "Vauxhall / Victoria line context",
          "kind": "urban accessibility"
        },
        "normalized_state": {
          "line_id": "victoria",
          "line_name": "Victoria",
          "status": "Good Service",
          "status_severity": 10
        },
        "source_id": "LONDON_TFL_VICTORIA",
        "source_timestamp": "2026-08-27T12:26:42.08Z"
      },
      {
        "classification": "ORDINARY_CHANGE",
        "evidence_id": "source-observation-d449bf5b36ae468abd86086fe5301e74",
        "geography": {
          "coverage": "Thames Tideway / Westminster context",
          "kind": "hydrological context"
        },
        "normalized_state": {
          "measure_id": "0006-level-tidal_level-i-15_min-mAOD",
          "station_id": "0006",
          "unit": "mAOD",
          "value": -0.486
        },
        "source_id": "LONDON_EA_THAMES_TIDEWAY",
        "source_timestamp": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z"
      },
      {
        "classification": "ORDINARY_CHANGE",
        "evidence_id": "source-observation-8c06caffc23c442bb9a36e8caec38899",
        "geography": {
          "coverage": "Lambeth and Wandsworth; borough context only",
          "kind": "housing-led population projection"
        },
        "normalized_state": {
          "boroughs": [
            {
              "borough": "Lambeth",
              "persons": {
                "2011": 304210,
                "2012": 309478,
                "2013": 312910,
                "2014": 316523,
                "2015": 321072,
                "2016": 324781,
                "2017": 325865,
                "2018": 328057,
                "2019": 328894,
                "2020": 325614,
                "2021": 318809,
                "2022": 319904,
                "2023": 321552,
                "2024": 319805,
                "2025": 321646,
                "2026": 323172,
                "2027": 324734,
                "2028": 326472,
                "2029": 327907,
                "2030": 329658,
                "2031": 331078,
                "2032": 332200,
                "2033": 332966,
                "2034": 333457,
                "2035": 333963,
                "2036": 334599,
                "2037": 335321,
                "2038": 335198,
                "2039": 334707,
                "2040": 334003,
                "2041": 333257,
                "2042": 332519,
                "2043": 331874,
                "2044": 331284,
                "2045": 330714,
                "2046": 330125,
                "2047": 329480,
                "2048": 328783,
                "2049": 328026,
                "2050": 327202,
                "2051": 327078
              }
            },
            {
              "borough": "Wandsworth",
              "persons": {
                "2011": 308830,
                "2012": 313754,
                "2013": 318495,
                "2014": 321535,
                "2015": 324546,
                "2016": 328200,
                "2017": 330842,
                "2018": 332382,
                "2019": 335313,
                "2020": 333914,
                "2021": 328574,
                "2022": 331203,
                "2023": 335208,
                "2024": 338773,
                "2025": 340909,
                "2026": 342806,
                "2027": 344703,
                "2028": 346251,
                "2029": 347126,
                "2030": 348193,
                "2031": 349560,
                "2032": 350848,
                "2033": 352819,
                "2034": 355027,
                "2035": 357167,
                "2036": 359336,
                "2037": 361554,
                "2038": 362544,
                "2039": 362828,
                "2040": 362743,
                "2041": 362574,
                "2042": 362390,
                "2043": 362062,
                "2044": 361646,
                "2045": 361154,
                "2046": 360536,
                "2047": 359790,
                "2048": 358950,
                "2049": 358024,
                "2050": 357003,
                "2051": 356799
              }
            }
          ],
          "kind": "housing_led_population_projection",
          "projection_release": "GLA 2024-based, published August 2026",
          "scope": "Lambeth and Wandsworth context for SW8/Battersea"
        },
        "source_id": "LONDON_GLA_HOUSING_LED_SW8",
        "source_timestamp": "2026-08-28"
      },
      {
        "classification": "ORDINARY_CHANGE",
        "evidence_id": "source-observation-750f1dd61f9c43a7b8176ee5a3624e89",
        "geography": {
          "coverage": "Lambeth and Wandsworth boroughs; aggregate context only",
          "kind": "urban safety dynamics"
        },
        "normalized_state": {
          "groups": [
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 539,
                "Wandsworth": 441
              },
              "combined_total": 980,
              "group": "ARSON AND CRIMINAL DAMAGE"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 479,
                "Wandsworth": 403
              },
              "combined_total": 882,
              "group": "BURGLARY"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 472,
                "Wandsworth": 315
              },
              "combined_total": 787,
              "group": "DRUG OFFENCES"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 0,
                "Wandsworth": 0
              },
              "combined_total": 0,
              "group": "FRAUD AND FORGERY"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 133,
                "Wandsworth": 109
              },
              "combined_total": 242,
              "group": "MISCELLANEOUS CRIMES AGAINST SOCIETY"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 123,
                "Wandsworth": 77
              },
              "combined_total": 200,
              "group": "POSSESSION OF WEAPONS"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 690,
                "Wandsworth": 535
              },
              "combined_total": 1225,
              "group": "PUBLIC ORDER OFFENCES"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 563,
                "Wandsworth": 210
              },
              "combined_total": 773,
              "group": "ROBBERY"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 362,
                "Wandsworth": 263
              },
              "combined_total": 625,
              "group": "SEXUAL OFFENCES"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 4104,
                "Wandsworth": 1871
              },
              "combined_total": 5975,
              "group": "THEFT"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 717,
                "Wandsworth": 765
              },
              "combined_total": 1482,
              "group": "VEHICLE OFFENCES"
            },
            {
              "borough_totals": {
                "Lambeth": 2791,
                "Wandsworth": 2211
              },
              "combined_total": 5002,
              "group": "VIOLENCE AGAINST THE PERSON"
            }
          ],
          "kind": "aggregate_place_based_safety_context",
          "limitations": [
            "Recorded crime is an aggregate contextual indicator, not a measure of individual behaviour or causality.",
            "Borough geography is broader than SW8 and must not be used for predictive policing."
          ],
          "period_months": [
            "202605",
            "202606",
            "202607"
          ],
          "scope": "Lambeth and Wandsworth borough context for SW8/Battersea"
        },
        "source_id": "LONDON_MPS_BOROUGH_SAFETY_SW8",
        "source_timestamp": "202607"
      }
    ],
    "input_fingerprint_sha256": "c93cc0c5a35efdb3276ca46b5c807a68feea73841be5ffe12943b8bf40bfd732"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-30 21:43:38.796148+00:00",
  "kind": "FIRST_APPRAISAL",
  "record_id": "first-appraisal-d2d77ee6fcf54e2098d464ef4c2687e1",
  "result": {
    "allowed_context_requests": [
      "LONDON_PLANNING_SW8",
      "LONDON_GLA_HOUSING_LED_SW8",
      "LONDON_MPS_BOROUGH_SAFETY_SW8"
    ],
    "authorization": "NON_AUTHORIZING_FIRST_APPRAISAL",
    "evidence_ids_used": [
      "source-observation-c93690c7e5194c60b8e8609978161a7b",
      "source-observation-8c06caffc23c442bb9a36e8caec38899",
      "source-observation-750f1dd61f9c43a7b8176ee5a3624e89"
    ],
    "missing_evidence": [
      "Granular ward-level crime rates specific to SW8",
      "Sub-borough housing completion rates"
    ],
    "opportunity_family": "INTERVENTION_OPPORTUNITY",
    "research_dispatch": "HELD",
    "research_warranted": true,
    "strategic_interest": "POSSIBLE",
    "strategic_question": "How can localized infrastructure planning and public safety services in SW8 align with projected population growth and active planning completions through the 2030s?",
    "uncertainties": [
      "Disparity between aggregate borough-level crime statistics and SW8 micro-locality conditions",
      "Timing of housing completions relative to population growth peaks"
    ],
    "why_it_might_matter": "Sustained population growth projections across Lambeth and Wandsworth alongside high volumes of planning decisions indicate increasing urban density, necessitating coordinated public infrastructure and community safety planning in the SW8 corridor."
  }
}